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OTC derivatives deal in delusion
OTC derivatives a dangerous delusion
Date published: 11/6/2009

I stopped believing in Santa Claus when I was six. Mother took me to see him in a department store, and he asked for my autograph.

--Shirley Temple

Disillusionment came early to Shirley. For most of us, life can be a painful process of trading childhood beliefs for more sophisticated adult delusions. The financial system is now clinging to one particularly dangerous delusion called the derivative.

Money equivalents--checks, plastic, electronic funds transfers, and various financial instruments--have become increasingly intangible and sophisticated. It's this total disconnect from the real world that's gotten us into dire trouble.

Derivatives are fundamentally bets on different types of risk based on underlying securities, with traders swapping one kind of risk for another they're more comfortable with. And, yes, some of these are the same incomprehensibly complex innovations Warren Buffett famously called "Financial weapons of mass destruction".

There are essentially two kinds of derivatives: One type consists of regulated, exchange-listed, straightforward bets on future prices of commodities and securities. The other, much more dangerous kind, are unregulated, custom-designed, complicated instruments traded over-the-counter (OTC) and not through an open clearing house. These are the ones Buffett had in mind.

The Bank for International Settlements has issued a startling report on derivatives. It takes us into a new world where money is counted by the quadrillion. This year, all kinds of derivatives reached a staggering face amount of $1.4 quadril-lion. The largest chunk of this was risky OTC derivatives: They jumped to almost $900 trillion. Contrast these astronomical numbers with the world's $60 trillion total goods and services in 2008.

OTC derivatives are by far the greatest single threat to the world's financial system. The Great Recession was created by the collapse of some of them--those involving mortgages--with global economic losses, according to the Asian Development Bank, of $50 trillion. This unstable, almost quadrillion-dollar derivatives mountain still threatens to bury us in another, possibly much worse economic avalanche.


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Date published: 11/6/2009



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OTC Derivatives (posted by observer , Nov. 8, 2009 1:05 pm)    0 likes
What is really bad is that most of these casino bet derivatives are still held by the 5 largest American banks. More are being written every day. Derivatives brought down AIG and caused a direct transfer of money from taxpayers to Goldman Sacs and major European banks. Jefferson County, AL will shortly file for bankruptcy after being on the losing end of derivative contracts sold by JP Morgan. We bailed out these banks but they havn't learned.

Derivatives need more exposure (posted by PolishFalcon , Nov. 6, 2009 7:43 am)    0 likes
Paul, this needs to written about more and placed in a more prominent place in the paper. It should be in the paper frequently so that people can see what greed does to the entire economic engine of the country.

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