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Many in area under water
About 30 percent of Washington-area single-family homes with mortgages are under water
Date published: 11/12/2009

BY BILL FREEHLING

About 30 percent of single-family homeowners with mortgages in the Washington area are under water on their loans, according to data from Zillow.com.

Being under water on a loan, which is also called having negative equity, means that the home's current value is less than the original mortgage amount. For example, someone who borrowed $300,000 to buy a home now worth $250,000 is under water.

Zillow, a real-estate tracking site, released its third-quarter figures Monday. As of Sept. 30, 29.6 percent of single-family homeowners with mortgages in the Washington Metropolitan Statistical Area were under water on their loan.

Fredericksburg and Fauquier, Spotsylvania and Stafford counties are all in the Washington MSA. Zillow does not break out individual localities in its analysis. But given that foreclosures have been as significant a problem in the Fredericksburg area as just about anywhere in the state, the 30 percent figure is probably representative of the percentage of area mortgage holders who were under water as of Sept. 30.

Zillow uses its own estimates of home value to calculate the figures. It compares that number with the original mortgage amount only and does not factor in principal payments or home-equity withdrawals.

The 29.6 percent figure is an improvement from June 30, when Zillow estimated that 33.5 percent of Washington-area single-family mortgage holders had negative equity. Home values in the Washington MSA rose 0.76 percent between June 30 and Sept. 30. That and the addition of newly purchased homes likely accounted for the improvement.

The Fredericksburg-area median housing sales price of $205,000 in October, about where it has been most of the year, was at levels from late 2003. Most people who bought a house in the area using traditional financing between 2004 and 2008 will have negative equity.

The large percentage of homeowners with negative equity concerns policymakers because of the risk that some of the people--particularly those who are significantly under water--will decide it makes more sense to walk away from the home rather than making mortgage payments higher than the market now dictates.

Nationwide, according to Zillow, the percentage of single-family mortgages with negative equity was 21 percent as of Sept. 30, down from 23 percent June 30.

Though the Washington MSA had a higher-than-average negative equity rate, the Richmond MSA fared better than the norm. In the Richmond MSA, which includes Caroline and Louisa counties, 16.3 percent of single-family mortgage loans were under water as of Sept. 30, down from 17.8 percent as of June 30.

To see more of the data from Zillow, as well as local housing numbers, go to fred ericksburg.com/blogs/biz browser.

Bill Freehling: 540/374-5405
Email: bfreehling@freelancestar.com



Date published: 11/12/2009



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Negative equity is meaningless unless (posted by Mandrake , Nov. 13, 2009 10:14 pm)    0 likes
the owner has to sell for some reason. It might affect how much of an equity loan he gets..but equity loans are a bad idea anyway. Stay away from it and keep your 20 year old TV...you don't really neeed that $5000 home entertainment system. Cheers!

Lenders (posted by econ101 , Nov. 12, 2009 10:28 pm)    0 likes
I am a lender too. I do my homework. Whenever a lender required an appraisal they take the valuation issue out of the hands of the buyer. When a lender orders an appraisal and determines the value, foreclosing is ignorant. It sounds counterintuitive compared to banking industry practice, but foreclosure creates a self fulfilling situation. Foreclosure re- sets the value and renders your other borrowers underwater. There is no vision or leadership in national banks. They systemize everything.

annjones (posted by annjones , Nov. 12, 2009 8:48 pm)    0 likes
oh, did i forget to include the homeowner who stands to gain a 400% increase from his investment? yeah, he is guilty of the greed that prevailed too.... it was a created bubble, , with inflated prices,, inflated by sellers, re agents, mortgage lenders and appraisers. period, and they are all sitting back enjoying their profits and they laughed all the way to the bank.

on another note (posted by Jaes , Nov. 12, 2009 7:09 pm)    0 likes
when considering buying a house, ask yourself is the mortgage affordable for a place for you to live in? Only bankers and fools will tell you a home is an investment. A home is a place to dwell in that may sell for more or less than when you purchased it.

it was made clear in 2004 (posted by Jaes , Nov. 12, 2009 7:06 pm)    0 likes
when a study revealed that over 70% of real estate transactions in the DC metro area were from one "investor" to another. Reap what you sew.

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